Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 13.716412 15.731437 17.876335 20.322542 23.028008 25.921599 29.243195
2025-02-02 11.378709 14.075801 17.114643 20.768476 25.017707 29.778499 35.489625
2025-02-09 9.561134 12.623516 16.244414 20.792663 26.300976 32.702980 40.649219
2025-02-16 7.810202 10.968110 14.874082 19.980439 26.393330 34.090776 43.930534
2025-02-23 6.685784 9.926305 14.098571 19.746641 27.064012 36.089009 47.911724
2025-03-02 5.689782 8.917003 13.235417 19.276787 27.332896 37.518978 51.161057
2025-03-09 4.965493 8.185590 12.650763 19.086973 27.894252 39.277289 54.819913
2025-03-16 4.276782 7.419443 11.934978 18.637638 28.041863 40.454396 57.715746
2025-03-23 3.847400 6.987102 11.642947 18.733387 28.898660 42.558243 61.849965
2025-03-30 3.433129 6.528731 11.265748 18.663870 29.494767 44.301619 65.524429
2025-04-06 3.138989 6.229005 11.095420 18.870489 30.468112 46.566569 69.941460
2025-04-13 2.875368 5.949558 10.928421 19.058930 31.404370 48.788869 74.339193
2025-04-20 2.707736 5.821385 10.993802 19.607579 32.895087 51.844673 79.992802
2025-04-27 2.522571 5.640919 10.956819 19.986059 34.135848 54.570046 85.242992
2025-05-04 2.287731 5.341748 10.696551 19.987116 34.793207 56.461029 89.345929
2025-05-11 1.947560 4.799147 9.975447 19.191291 34.178344 56.461279 90.724126
2025-05-18 1.734362 4.479833 9.615077 18.961309 34.421778 57.715145 93.922158
2025-05-25 1.513627 4.115360 9.141270 18.504994 34.274726 58.364841 96.233925
2025-06-01 1.352620 3.856715 8.839204 18.320681 34.547509 59.642670 99.486072
2025-06-08 1.179718 3.546597 8.411820 17.885565 34.382010 60.231441 101.708216
2025-06-15 1.082621 3.398487 8.285572 17.978133 35.087963 62.176502 106.001626
2025-06-22 0.978484 3.218451 8.080000 17.910819 35.515335 63.688281 109.659632
2025-06-29 0.909068 3.115296 8.021907 18.110767 36.399742 65.936122 114.481918